The failure of Murphy’s Law

Toby Elwin, Murphy's, Humphrey's, Conway's, Brook's, Law

Wile E. fought the law and the law won, again and again and again …

Murphy’s Law sets the following: “anything that can possibly go wrong, does.”

I do not believe in Murphy’s Law.

The only law I do believe in is the law of gravity.

Gravity affects all. Murphy does not.

When things get bent Murphy takes too much credit (blame) when the more likely result being a symptom of poor planning and failures further upstream and earlier than Murphy ever came on the scene.

Were you aware that Murphy has company? There are 3 inputs that increase likelihood of Murphy laying the law down on your project.

Though often associated with software development, here are 3 laws with gravity over Murphy:

  1. Humphrey’s LawThe User Does Not Know What They Want Until Production
  2. Conway’s LawThe Structure of the Organization That Designs is Constrained To Produce Copies of That Organization Structure
    • Bloated hierarchy and micromanagement organization dynamics yield:
      1. projects with poor scope,
      2. programs that crumble under their own hubris, and
      3. products that are both unwieldy to adopt and result in excessive cost
  3. Brooks’ LawAdding Manpower To A Project Delays The Project Even Further

The 3 reveal Murphy is more symptom than law and more excuse than lawful credibility. Murphy was bound to show up sooner or later when these other laws were in play.

Gravity works equally and against all, without prejudice. Murphy? Well, stop inviting him and he is less likely to join the party.

postscript:  I’ve not forgotten Ziv’s Law, but left it for another source of Murphy’s frustration.

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Fast Start — Big data and better workers

Fast Start conversation: New research with large data, known as Big Data, are creating big problems for human resource s (HR) and HR professionals.

Big Data, Build Better Workers, New York Times, Steve Lohr, Toby Elwin

Bosses matter, they really do matter — far more than kleptocratic bureaucrats realize.

Big Data, Trying to Build Better Workers and New York Times’ Steve Lohr, presents a herd of reasons data can bring HR recruiting, training, and retaining enlightenment to change employment bias.

An applicants work history is not a good predictor of future results, for example.

Employers often avoid candidates with a history of job-hopping or have been unemployed for a while – silly HR, you have it wrong, again.

Who says so?

All lend insight, with data, big data, around why.

Would you look to make hiring less subjective and more scientific?

Now, is there big data that change the bias that IT and engineering folks from M.I.T. and IBM are personable?

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Yesterday worked with Project Management Institute New York City chapter in an all-day retreat with focus on communication and collaboration.

Here is the presentation Stephen Nosal and I collaborated on for a discussion on integrated communication and social media might look like.  Yesterday’s objectives included how the chapter shares events and activities that improve community persona need.

To view presentation within this site, scroll below the 2 slides.  You can download Adobe Acrobat or PowerPoint version just below.

social media, toby elwin, project management, communications, stately

Download Adobe Acrobat .pdf – Social Media and Strategy

Download my PowerPoint version to review my page notes for more detailed notes and sources.

social media, project management, toby elwin, communications, strategy

Download PowerPoint – Social Media and Strategy

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Change management alarm

RING! Your alarm goes off.

Toby Elwin, blog, change management, alarm clock, Darth Vader

“Your lack of faith in change management is disturbing … oh, and don’t even think about pressing snooze … “

Smack! Your alarm is off. The mental fog retreats and gives way to the slow realization of why you set the alarm.

Last week a slow realization came into focus that my profession, and passion, change management, elicits similar transference and abuse as an alarm clock does.

There is similarity to an alarm clock and to change management.

Unless you rely on luck, both an alarm clock and change management are success requirements critical to responsibility and accountability:

  • Set the alarm to meet expectation when your success relies on timeliness
  • Set change management to manage expectation when success is observable behavior

Both, to succeed, face a lose/lose situation:

  • Not many folks I know bound out of bed to meet an obligation
  • Not many folks I know are eager to change habit or behavior

Both an alarm clock and change management remind people of what they should do, but do not want to do: follow through.

Wipe the Sleep Out of My Eyes

Few people risk going without an alarm for an important obligation, like the Monday through Friday folk who rely on an alarm to pleasingly remind themselves to rise for work.

However, the alarm represents a zero-sum game: you win when awoken at the time you set; the alarm clock loses by reminding you to snap out of your dreams and get going. Your alarm only did what you asked, but you are not terribly keen that you needed to even ask.

In reality an alarm clock can not win:

  • No one looks forward when and what time the alarm is set.
    • We expect the alarm we set to keep some commitment we have, BUT an alarm remind us of what we wish we could do: sleep in.
  • No one is happy if the alarm did not go off.
    • We quickly realize we needed the alarm as we scramble to get back on track, BUT curse we forgot to set the alarm.

Just as an alarm stops you from a current, resting state, change management relies on communicating to people what they need to stop doing and what people need to start doing in a new, functional state. It isn’t enough to tell someone about change or expect change is greeted with fanfare. Why? Perhaps because change relies on motivation to change something fundamental to all: behavior.

I certainly do not call any plan divorced from addressing behavior change, like so many Information Technology (IT) change management plans, a relevant change management effort.

Change is not about what you propose to change, but what needs to change for the proposal to work and the majority of professionals I know remain content to scope and launch enterprise initiatives and projects without little change management planning or dedication to the resources needed for change that promotes adoption.

Oh What Can it Mean?

Without much conscious thought we continue a dysfunctional relationship with alarm clocks and with change management. Both provoke visceral resentment. Just as most people hate the sound of the alarm clock, change management takes many from their blissful slumber of naiveté to a rude awakening that change is about people not process, people not objects.

Both an alarm clock and change management share another common reluctance from people, but when you realize it is too late you wish you used it. We rely on what both provide, but hate we have that need.

People just want to get things done, but not the work to get it accomplished. But you rely on the alarm you set to get you to the airport on time to make your flight for vacation. At the time the alarm snaps you out of sleep, your vacation is not top of mind.

However, if the power went out, if you forgot to set the alarm, or set the alarm to PM instead of AM upon waking you will immediately remember the importance your alarm has. Once on vacation the alarm is forgiven its excess all but forgotten.

Change management is not about new procedure, new technology, new policy, the only success measure for change management is observable behavior change. Just as the alarm is presents observable change from sleep mode, the objective of change management is end-user adoption and utility.

Review of too many project plans reveal a dedication to project process without delivering required resources to adopt the project promise. It takes people to adopt the project product. For a project to work you must plan for behavior change in a change management plan, the change is more important than a delivery date.

But It Rings and I Rise

You set your alarm because you have to. When the alarm goes off you curse the sound as well as the reminder of an obligation to rise. It is not the alarm clock’s fault, you bought the alarm because you need it. You asked the alarm to wake you, but you are not terribly pleased about how effective your alarm is.

Either way you need an alarm to snap out of a preferred state of being: dreaming. There is an uneasy partnership between you and your alarm.

Change management is also about taking people out of their current-state and moving them from their inertia. Just as a force at rest stays at rest, until an alarm, a behavior adopted is a hard habit for people to break.

Change management is not a process, change management is not a top-down pronouncement, change management is not about buy-in. Change management is a focus on the state of how people need to be, because change management focuses on behavior change as a success.

Daydream Believer Wake Up Call

There is a reason alarm sounds pierce and annoy. There is some obligation that needs taking care of, otherwise reserved time to allow you to sleep in. Planning for people in change management should not annoy project sponsors or the project management office. Planning for people is the reason the project was launched and the endeavor received funding.

Change relies on people success and to avoid counting on people in change management is financially irresponsible and professionally incompetent.

The poor alarm clock, only doing exactly as designed and does reliably; when you remember to set it. The change agent, tasked to bring change to a population unaware of the behavior impact needed to change and not terribly motivated to squeeze new processes and ways to work into the workload they are responsible to get done.

Anyone ever happy getting a new alarm clock?

Sure you hope it works better than the last, but really what is it that is better?

A more pleasant annoying ring to cut through slumber to roust you? Kind of an oxymoron.

Stop resisting change management. Just as smacking the snooze bar on your alarm soon defeats the purpose of setting an alarm, stop throwing roadblocks in the way of change management unless, like hitting the snooze bar too many times, you expect the same result.

Change management, like project management, is not a process. Change management is a promise.

For change management to succeed we need to move change management from announcements and pronouncements to change managed from understanding, engaging, and identification of what will be. Your project stakeholder competence lends to their confidence and that lends to their adoption.

So many projects fail because they fail to factor in the ability for stakeholders to adapt.  Change management plans to manage ability to adapt, but not as a secondary or tertiary objective, the plan to adapt is a primary objective; as well as a primary project risk

After all change management is not about what’s in it for you, change management is about what’s in it for them.

Stop hitting the snooze bar on change management then blaming change management for your failure to wake up.

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Projects impact people and project success relies on people impact for adoption. Projects can have success without project tools and templates, but project tools provide a sanity check for random, emotional, and irrational acts people are capable of.

Toby Elwin, pmi, pmp, impact, stakeholder, communications, plan, project, scope, management, assessment, SharePoint, template, plan, project management institute, lmi

Scope planning process: progressively iterative and critical to set and manage expectation.

Are tools a prescription for success? No. Never. But certainly tools provide buttress against the irrational.

To understand a project you need to understand project impact and an impact assessment is a project tool to outline the scope of project impact.

I have a suite of project templates I used to manage in Excel, but now manage in SharePoint. The past year I have used these SharePoint templates and offer them to anyone using SharePoint.

I have added an opportunity register and a change management assessment to the suite of templates.

Sharing is the New Selfish

SharePoint is a great collaboration tool I have found to improve project management experience. SharePoint’s centralization and transparency replaces scraps of emails and file akimbo across folders, drives, networks, and version histories.

SharePoint provides project teams ways to:

  • share assessments and templates,
  • schedule feedback,
  • foster collaboration,
  • Gantt charts,
  • KPI (Key Performance Indicators) dashboard,
  • collect data,
  • view data,
  • analyze data,
  • filter data, and
  • update data

Projects Impact People

Projects have impact. Impact affects risk. Risk affects hope. Hope affects scope. An impact analysis is an early-phase assessment to identify all stakeholders, their needs, their awareness, and their insight into the project before they surprise you.

There are 2 reasons to start a project:

  1. Create something new
  2. Improve something that exists

Either 2 reasons impact current-state and too often, projects kick-off before a true understanding on the impact to people, process, and technology. The SharePoint Impact Analysis template looks like this and stores in a SharePoint list. To download the template, jump below.

impact analysis, template, project management, impact

Impact Analysis Template

Download the SharePoint Impact Analysis Template to your hard drive.

To learn how to upload to your SharePoint site see appendix in below deck. Once uploaded you can customize as necessary.

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Fast Start — How dissent shapes organizations

wall street journal, The Choice: To Squawk or to Go?, fast startFast Start conversation:  People speak loudest with their feet.  Markets, in an economist perspective, are all about exits, when to sell, when to cash in.

When you pick up and leave you’ve said more than words.

Politics deals in having a voice.

When your voice is most effective is when there is possibility to exit, in a Wall Street Journal article The Choice:  To Squawk or to Go?, Roger Lowenstein, reviews a useful approach to dissent in organizations through review of Albert Hirschman.

Exit, however rules out a voice and the last leg (to stand on) is loyalty and loyalty holds exit at bay.

In our organizations when does the exit outweigh the voice to get things done?

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Social Media in an Agile World

Very pleased to present at Project Management Institute New York City chapter on Agile project methods to create and manage social media.  Great opportunity to formalize some thoughts and present to a very active and engaged community.

I will share more resources after the meeting

To view presentation within this site, scroll below the 2 slides.  You can download Adobe Acrobat or PowerPoint version just below.

social media, agile, project management, web 2.0, toby elwin, project management

Download Adobe Acrobat .pdf – Social Media in an Agile World

Download my PowerPoint version to review my page notes for more detailed notes and sources.

social media, agile, project management, web 2.0, toby elwin, project management

Download PowerPoint – Social Media in an Agile World

Invite me to speak at your event.

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